Optimism grows for grain producers as early season rains see yield estimates increase

The cropping season in South Australia has enjoyed one of the strongest starts in years, bolstered by above average autumn and early winter rainfall.

The latest Crop and Pasture Report, published by the Department of Primary Industries and Regions (PIRSA), has recorded excellent crop establishment and strong early growth, pushing statewide grain production estimates up to 9.8 million tonnes for this season – nearly 9% higher than estimated in the first crop and pasture report of the season and 11 per cent higher than the five-year average.

Strong growing conditions have supported exceptional pasture growth and abundant feed supplies across the state, resulting in excellent livestock condition, reduced reliance on supplementary feeding and strong lambing and calving performance.

Confidence among livestock producers is high, with strong livestock prices and some of the best grazing conditions observed in recent years.

While favourable weather conditions have also led to increased pressure from pests and diseases, most of these issues have been managed effectively by producers through timely monitoring and control measures.

Mice concerns observed earlier in the year have eased considerably for grain producers following effective baiting programs, with little reported impact on crops.

Fuel and fertiliser costs remain elevated owing to the impact of international conflicts, although they have eased from recent peaks following global interventions.

Lentils have firmed as the state’s third largest crop by area, while wheat and barley are both enjoying increased crop sizes since last year and, along with lentils, rye, durum, oats, lupins, vetch and hay, are trending above the 5-year average.

With yield prospects prompting cautious optimism among farmers, they remain conservative and could go beyond 9.8 million tonnes in the event of sufficient late winter and spring rainfall and an absence of adverse weather events during flowering and grain fill.

The PIRSA Crop and Pasture Report provides industry and the Government of South Australia with key intelligence on regional grain and pasture performance across 14 districts in South Australia.

The report includes a statewide summary of crop conditions, paddock activities, seasonal weather impacts, livestock condition, pasture performance and feed availability.

To read the full 2026-27 Crop and Pasture Report – Crop Emergence, visit crop report.